All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Arabian Round Up |
Rushville Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Mason Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hancock County |
Hoosier Heritage Conference |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional |
Rushville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/15 |
8/25 |
8/28 |
9/4 |
9/11 |
9/25 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
| Team Rating |
373 |
314 |
642 |
336 |
391 |
375 |
375 |
368 |
383 |
454 |
360 |
389 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
314 |
403 |
293 |
336 |
336 |
375 |
368 |
383 |
454 |
360 |
389 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Arabian Round Up |
Rushville Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Mason Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hancock County |
Hoosier Heritage Conference |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional |
Rushville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 96 |
Tristan Trevino |
11 |
16:34 |
17:01 |
|
|
|
|
16:23 |
16:38 |
16:41 |
16:58 |
16:45 |
16:25 |
16:29 |
| 103 |
Austin Rush |
12 |
16:36 |
16:32 |
16:12 |
16:30 |
16:35 |
16:38 |
16:38 |
16:39 |
16:54 |
17:05 |
16:33 |
16:27 |
16:36 |
| 143 |
Joseph Blagrave |
12 |
16:51 |
16:32 |
16:57 |
16:34 |
16:47 |
16:53 |
17:00 |
16:43 |
16:59 |
16:52 |
16:57 |
16:46 |
|
| 254 |
Colin Strachman |
10 |
17:14 |
17:35 |
17:57 |
17:12 |
17:21 |
17:04 |
17:24 |
17:07 |
17:01 |
17:24 |
16:59 |
17:11 |
|
| 271 |
Sam Wilson |
12 |
17:16 |
16:52 |
17:09 |
16:47 |
17:17 |
17:09 |
17:13 |
17:32 |
17:10 |
17:24 |
17:10 |
18:11 |
|
| 278 |
Reyce Morgan |
12 |
17:18 |
16:45 |
|
16:57 |
16:46 |
16:54 |
17:18 |
17:17 |
17:15 |
17:58 |
18:22 |
|
|
| 536 |
Landon Willis |
9 |
17:49 |
17:48 |
|
|
18:17 |
18:14 |
18:18 |
18:00 |
18:05 |
17:25 |
17:34 |
17:47 |
|
| 696 |
Ahmed Saleh |
9 |
18:06 |
18:14 |
|
|
18:48 |
18:32 |
18:43 |
18:19 |
18:31 |
|
|
17:56 |
|
| 945 |
Xaiden Jenson |
9 |
18:28 |
18:30 |
|
|
18:30 |
18:34 |
18:23 |
18:20 |
18:33 |
|
|
|
|
|
Brayden Strantz |
9 |
19:26 |
|
|
|
21:05 |
|
19:37 |
19:19 |
18:57 |
|
|
|
|
|
Wilson Hoeppner |
10 |
20:34 |
|
19:39 |
|
|
|
20:52 |
20:59 |
20:22 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
8.2 |
239 |
|
|
0.1 |
1.0 |
3.9 |
10.5 |
17.1 |
24.3 |
24.7 |
12.2 |
4.5 |
1.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.7 |
45 |
25.9 |
73.6 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.8 |
40 |
25.1 |
74.2 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Tristan Trevino |
40.3% |
74.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
40.3% |
40.3% |
| Austin Rush |
32.4% |
78.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
32.4% |
32.4% |
| Joseph Blagrave |
2.9% |
94.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.9% |
2.9% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Tristan Trevino |
100% |
33.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Austin Rush |
100% |
35.6 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Joseph Blagrave |
100% |
52.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Colin Strachman |
100% |
82.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
| Sam Wilson |
100% |
86.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
| Reyce Morgan |
100% |
88.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.7% |
| Landon Willis |
100% |
126.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
57.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Tristan Trevino |
100% |
2.7 |
6.5 |
26.0 |
24.6 |
17.9 |
10.2 |
6.1 |
3.6 |
2.1 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Austin Rush |
100% |
3.1 |
3.7 |
19.2 |
24.4 |
19.5 |
13.3 |
7.6 |
4.6 |
3.1 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Joseph Blagrave |
100% |
7.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.9 |
8.8 |
12.1 |
14.1 |
12.1 |
10.7 |
8.7 |
7.9 |
6.8 |
5.0 |
3.4 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Colin Strachman |
100% |
16.3 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
5.6 |
6.8 |
6.9 |
7.2 |
8.7 |
10.0 |
10.2 |
9.1 |
8.0 |
5.9 |
4.4 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Sam Wilson |
100% |
17.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
5.1 |
6.2 |
6.8 |
7.6 |
9.2 |
10.6 |
10.5 |
8.8 |
7.7 |
5.8 |
4.2 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Reyce Morgan |
100% |
18.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
4.0 |
4.9 |
5.4 |
6.6 |
8.9 |
10.1 |
10.9 |
10.9 |
9.4 |
7.1 |
5.5 |
3.6 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Landon Willis |
100% |
28.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
3.4 |
5.1 |
6.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Tristan Trevino |
2.6 |
6.1 |
27.9 |
26.4 |
19.5 |
10.2 |
4.7 |
2.7 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Austin Rush |
3.0 |
4.1 |
19.3 |
27.0 |
21.3 |
14.2 |
6.4 |
3.9 |
2.0 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Joseph Blagrave |
6.1 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
10.5 |
15.5 |
19.5 |
12.9 |
11.3 |
10.5 |
6.0 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
2.6 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Colin Strachman |
13.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.8 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
4.3 |
8.0 |
8.5 |
9.2 |
10.4 |
15.6 |
16.0 |
12.0 |
6.5 |
2.0 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Sam Wilson |
13.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
5.7 |
6.7 |
8.2 |
9.7 |
14.3 |
16.7 |
17.0 |
10.7 |
3.3 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Reyce Morgan |
14.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
2.6 |
4.5 |
6.1 |
6.9 |
8.5 |
11.7 |
16.8 |
19.3 |
14.8 |
4.8 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Landon Willis |
19.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
3.4 |
15.6 |
24.8 |
19.1 |
16.9 |
12.5 |
3.8 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
|
